HighGravityDataCurrent guidance
7 items
Waste Connections
Guidance from Waste Connections’s last 8 earnings releases. Every value links to its sentence in the filing. See something wrong? Tell us.
Releases tracked
8
Latest release
Jul 22, 2026
Data checked
Jul 22, 2026
What changed in the Jul 22, 2026 release
Each item compared with the same item in the previous release (Apr 22, 2026). Values in quotation marks are the company’s words.
New — first stated in this releaseRaised / Lowered / Narrowed / Widened — changed from the prior releaseRevised — wording changed, direction not determinableChanged — value changed; the comparison couldn’t be parsed to a directionReiterated — restated unchangedNot restated — stated before, absent nowRaised and lowered describe the number, not whether the change is favorable.
| Change | Metric | Period | Previous | Now | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raised | Revenue | for FY2026 | “$9.90 billion to $9.95 billion” | “between $10.02 billion to $10.05 billion” | Filing ↗ |
| Raised | Adjusted EBITDA | for FY2026 | “$3.300 billion to $3.325 billion” | “between $3.33 billion and $3.34 billion” | Filing ↗ |
| Lowered | Net income | for FY2026 | “$1.223 billion to $1.238 billion” | “between $1.169 billion and $1.173 billion” | Filing ↗ |
| New | Effective tax rate | for FY2026 | — | “Approximately 23.1%” | Filing ↗ |
| Lowered | Net cash provided by operating activities | for FY2026 | “$2.65 billion to $2.70 billion” | “between $2.63 billion and $2.68 billion” | Filing ↗ |
| Reiterated | Adjusted free cash flow | for FY2026 | “$1.40 billion to $1.45 billion, up 11.2% to 15.1% year over year” | “between $1.40 billion and $1.45 billion” | Filing ↗ |
| Reiterated | Capital expenditures | for FY2026 | “approximately $1.25 billion” | “approximately $1.25 billion” | Filing ↗ |
Current guidance
Guidance for periods that have not yet ended, at its most recent value, grouped by horizon.
Current fiscal year
| Metric | Current value | Period | Measure | First stated | Times stated | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | “between $10.02 billion to $10.05 billion” | for FY2026 | GAAP-tied | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| Adjusted EBITDA | “between $3.33 billion and $3.34 billion” | for FY2026 | Company-defined | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| Net income | “between $1.169 billion and $1.173 billion” | for FY2026 | GAAP-tied | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| Adjusted free cash flow | “between $1.40 billion and $1.45 billion” | for FY2026 | Company-defined | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| Capital expenditures | “approximately $1.25 billion” | for FY2026 | Company-defined | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
| Effective tax rate | “Approximately 23.1%” | for FY2026 | GAAP-tied | Jul 22, 2026 | 1 | Filing ↗ |
| Net cash provided by operating activities | “between $2.63 billion and $2.68 billion” | for FY2026 | GAAP-tied | Feb 11, 2026 | 2 | Filing ↗ |
How one item moved
Revenue, for FY2026 — every statement across the year, each linked to its filing.
How your Environmental & infrastructure services sector group guides
12 companies in Environmental & infrastructure services. What they guide on, and who reported this season.
Most-guided metric families
This season’s releases
| ABM Industries | Sep 8, 2026 | 5 changes |
| AECOM | Aug 10, 2026 | 19 changes |
| Casella Waste Systems | Aug 6, 2026 | 2 changes |
| Republic Services | Aug 6, 2026 | 7 changes |
| Jacobs Solutions | Aug 4, 2026 | 7 changes |
| EMCOR Group | Jul 30, 2026 | 6 changes |
| KBR | Jul 30, 2026 | 1 change |
| Clean Harbors | Jul 29, 2026 | 16 changes |
Get this for your own peer set — Peer Guidance Briefing, $3,000.
Full history
Every metric, every release, eight quarters — the complete record as one table.
| Metric | FY2026 | FY2025 | FY2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Acquisitions annualized revenue pace | — | — | 1 statement |
| Adjusted EBITDA, as % of revenue | — | 1 statement | — |
| Depreciation and Depletion (% of revenue) | — | 2 statements | — |
| Depreciation and Depletion, as % of revenue | — | 1 statement | — |
| Revenue | 2 statements | 2 statements | 1 statement |
The full record for Waste Connections and its Environmental & infrastructure services peers, delivered as a Peer Guidance Briefing — PDF and Excel, every value linked to its filing.
Filings
The 8 earnings releases this page is built from.
| Filed | Fiscal period | Accession | Guidance items | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | FY2026 Q2 | 0001104659-26-085802 | 7 | Open filing ↗ |
| Apr 22, 2026 | FY2026 Q1 | 0001104659-26-046820 | 0 | Open filing ↗ |
| Feb 11, 2026 | FY2025 Q4 | 0001104659-26-013370 | 6 | Open filing ↗ |
| Oct 21, 2025 | FY2025 Q3 | 0001104659-25-101248 | 0 | Open filing ↗ |
| Jul 23, 2025 | FY2025 Q2 | 0001558370-25-009445 | 21 | Open filing ↗ |
| Apr 23, 2025 | FY2025 Q1 | 0001558370-25-005265 | 0 | Open filing ↗ |
| Feb 12, 2025 | FY2024 Q4 | 0001558370-25-000869 | 10 | Open filing ↗ |
| Oct 23, 2024 | FY2024 Q3 | 0001558370-24-013517 | 8 | Open filing ↗ |
Not located in filing
14 values were detected in these releases but could not be matched to an exact sentence in the filing body, so they are not shown as guidance. We surface the count rather than drop it silently.
Show the 14 unmatched spans
| Span | Why | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| Income tax provision = Low Estimate $397,000; High Estimate $402,000; Observation: Approximate 24.5% effective rate | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Interest expense, net = Low Estimate $330,000; High Estimate $330,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Depreciation and Depletion = Low Estimate $1,105,000; High Estimate $1,110,000; Observation: Approximately 11.2% of revenue | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Amortization = Low Estimate $195,000; High Estimate $195,000; Observation: Approximately 2.0% of revenue | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Closure and post-closure accretion = Low Estimate $50,000; High Estimate $50,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 11, 2026 |
| regular quarterly dividend = increased by 11.1% | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Income tax provision = Low Estimate $374,000; High Estimate $386,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Interest expense, net = Low Estimate $290,000; High Estimate $310,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Depreciation and Depletion = Low Estimate $1,040,000; High Estimate $1,045,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Amortization = Low Estimate $185,000; High Estimate $190,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Closure and post-closure accretion = Low Estimate $45,000; High Estimate $45,000 | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Capital expenditures = Low Estimate $(1,200,000); High Estimate $(1,225,000) | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Feb 12, 2025 |
| regular quarterly dividend = increased by 10.5% | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Adjusted EBITDA growth = high single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth | span gate: value not verbatim in filing | Oct 23, 2024 |
Values in quotation marks are the company’s words; the classification and filing links are HighGravityData’s. HighGravityData does not score or rank companies or give investment advice.
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